A currency board arrangement (CBA) is a domestic monetary regime governed
by three strict rules:
(1) an exchange rate rigidly pegged to a foreign currency;
(2) the obligation for the currency issued to be freely and integrally
convertible into this foreign "reserve currency"; and
(3) an obligation for the currency board to keep in its balance sheet a
volume of foreign reserve currency equal to at least 100 per cent of the
monetary base (that is, currency in circulation plus bank reserves).
The first generation of CBAs was the monetary core of the sterling system
that reached its peak in the sterling area period. It was the major
instrument of monetary integration of the most dependent British imperial
territories to the motherland. By issuing its own currency against a full
backing of sterling assets, a colony enjoyed the benefits of a sound local
currency without the drawbacks and costs associated with using the actual
sterling notes in distant lands: sterling note denominations were too large
to be practical; costs related to shipping and risk of destruction or loss
were high; and, furthermore, colonial authorities could capture
"seignoriage revenues", that is, obtain resources from yields on reserve
assets instead of letting them to the Bank of England.
The most decisive stage was the report of the Emmot Committee (1911-12) on
cur- rency matters in some African colonies, which led to the building-up
of the West African Currency Board (1913). The latter served as the actual
prototype of the British imperial CBAs. This generalization of CBAs
coincided with the end of Britain's predominance as the first international
power and the beginning of its regional retreat on its own Empire. Between
the Great War and the Great Depression, the United Kingdom tightened up its
connections with sterling-associated countries and started to reinforce
integration with territories under its dependency.
A kind of international division of labour was set up within the British
Empire. Most colonial trade finance was obtained through British "overseas"
banks. Local operating branches of British banks had the protection of
colonial military power; they benefited from maximum financial safety
provided by the security of the currency board and the unrestricted
connection with London head offices. A local lender of last resort had
there- fore little relevance. Indeed, the Bank of England acted as the
lender of last resort for the entire Empire. British authorities
established CBAs to reinforce colonial integration and monetary cohesion of
its Empire. An unforeseen CBA scheme - surprisingly designed by John
Maynard Keynes himself, then a senior official at the British Treasury -
was also set up in 1918 in North Russia during the Russian civil war
(Ponsot, 2002).
Today, Hong Kong, Djibouti, Brunei, and a few small territories (Gibraltar,
the Falkland Islands, the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, Antigua and Barbuda,
Dominica, Grenada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, and Saint Vincent
and the Grenadines) still operate under a CBA (Ghosh et al., 2000). A most
significant fact was the emergence of a second generation of CBAs in the
1990s: Argentina (1991), Estonia (1992), Lithuania (1994), Bulgaria, and
Bosnia and Herzegovina (1997). Argentina abandoned its CBA in January 2002
after a severe financial and economic crisis. With Estonia's adoption of
the euro in 2011, its CBA was upheld.
Contrary to the British colonial era, the second generation of CBAs has
been created to fit other purposes than a strong quasi-exclusive
integration with the country that issues the anchor currency. Rather, they
have been conceived as an ultimate solution to end monetary and financial
chaos in "emerging" economies (hyperinflation, transition process financial
crises, post-war reconstruction). They have not been motivated by a desire
to reinforce integration with a strong economy, but in order to boost
monetary stability, economic openness and financial liberalization. They
were solutions to bring about the sacrosanct credibility required by
greater openness to globalized markets. In that sense, CBAs have been the
instrument of the economic policies prescribed by the "Washington
Consensus" during the 1990s.
The CBA's most consistent supporters were among economists of the New
Classical School. Barro (1998) has recommended it in the case of Latin
America and Russia. He thus remained faithful to the conceptions of the
theory of rational expectations. Since any discretionary policy is doomed
to failure and contain an inflationary bias, such poli- cies must be
cancelled or replaced by strict unchanging rules in order to guard against
all sources of instability and inflation.
The arguments against CBAs range from the claim that such monetary
arrangements imply giving up the central bank's role as lender of last
resort (LLR), to the claims that they involve a deflationary growth
dynamic, and that they slow down adjustments to external shocks. In absence
of a domestic LLR, the banking system of countries under CBAs might be
extremely vulnerable (Ponsot, 2003).
To assure financial stability of their banking system, CBA countries need
strengthened direct or indirect connection with the financial system of the
country that issues the reference currency to balance the absence of a
domestic LLR. The inelasticity of central bank money supply may have some
impact on the credit supply dynamics, and thereby on economic activity. In
the case where the central bank refuses all accommodation, interest rates
violently increase. If the country's economy is not able to record a
current account surplus, then there is a persistent stagnation or
restriction of credit. To assure a favour- able growth dynamic, CBA
countries need a high degree of trade and investment links with the issuer
of the reserve currency.
CBAs, like dollarization regimes (see Studart, 2001), are asymmetric
monetary unions. Permanent CBAs are not viable without strong monetary and
financial integra- tion. So, if a country opts for a currency board, it
should peg to a currency of a country that accounts for the lion's share of
its own external trade. More broadly, CBAs make sense only for small
economies with sufficient commercial, financial and eventually political
links with the core economy. That is what happened under the first
generation of CBAs.
See also:
Convertibility law; Dollarization; Hyperinflation; Lender of last
resort.
No comments:
Post a Comment