The international fame of Germany's central bank, the Deutsche Bundesbank,
rests on West Germany's low inflation record in the post-Second-World-War
era, which, including the high-inflation 1970s, averaged 3 per cent over
the 50-year history of the deutschmark from 1948 to 1998. "Buba", as the
bank is called in the markets, has a reputation as an inflation hawk. Held
in awe in some international political and financial circles, but scorned
in others, the Bundesbank has established a firm backing in German public
opinion and has generally enjoyed respect and support from across the
political spectrum, too. Despite becoming part of the Eurosystem and
surrendering its de facto monetary reign over Europe to
the European Central Bank (ECB) with the euro change- over in 1999, the
Bundesbank continues to wield disproportionate political power in policy
debates both in Germany and at the European level today.
Viewing the (Deutsche) "Reichsbank" founded in 1876 as part of the
to-be-dismantled centralized power machinery of Nazi Germany, the
re-establishment of central banking in the three Western occupation zones
of defeated Germany after the Second World War followed the decentralized
model of the Federal Reserve System in the United States. In March 1948,
the regional central banks (Landeszentralbanken; LZB) established
since 1947 in the individual German Länder (states) were
supplemented by a new Bank deutscherLänder (BdL) supposed to function as their federal
headquarters. The BdL was located in Frankfurt and had representatives from
the LZB on its Governing Council of policy makers as well as an Executive
Board of managers. On British insistence, erect- ing the BdL as a proper
bank rather than a mere (decision-making) board, the BdL was a preparatory
measure for the planned Currency Reform of June 1948 (Häuser, 1998;
Bernholz, 1999; Buchheim, 1999; Distel, 2003). The Allies' introduction of
the deutsch- mark in conjunction with general price liberalization under
the initiative of Ludwig Erhard, West Germany's later legendary minister of
economic affairs, became seen as the foundation of the German "economic
miracle" that ensued in the 1950s.
The establishment of the BdL and the birth of the deutschmark, which in due
course became the subject of glorification by association with West
Germany's re-emergence from the socio-economic and political cataclysm of
the Second World War, thus pre- ceded the election of the first federal
government of the Federal Republic of Germany in September 1949. By its
statutes the BdL was also "independent" of political control by the German
states. This guaranteed the Allied powers' full authority over the central
bank still lacking a State, with control being exercised through the Allied
Bank Commission (residing with the BdL under the same roof).
The end of Allied control then led to the Transition [central bank] Law of
1951, a hard-fought-over compromise between the BdL and the federal
government of Konrad Adenauer. The compromise formula foresaw that the BdL
was independent from gov- ernment instructions in safeguarding the currency
but obliged to take into account and support the government's economic
policy - a formula that made its way into the Bundesbank Law of 1957 and
properly established the peculiar German tradition of central bank
independence (Bibow, 2009, 2010). As West Germany's Basic Law ( Grundgesetz) of 1949 featured the obligation for the
federal government to establish a "Bundesbank", the new Bundesbank finally
superseded the BdL in 1957, reforming the latter's decentralized structures
while retaining broad Länder representation on the Governing
Council (Spindler et al., 1957; Hentschel, 1988).
Price stability causes economic growth, according to Bundesbank mantra.
Under the peculiar conditions after the Second World War, that was actually
true for West Germany. With exchange rates generally pegged to the US
dollar and German inflation rates lower than in key trading partners,
relative price stability boosted German competitiveness and fired the
country's export-led growth (Holtfrerich, 1999). Economic growth was
broad-based, as constructive labour relations secured wage growth broadly
in line with productivity trends and the stability norm of 2 per cent
inflation. The Bundesbank's role was that of a referee enforcing discipline
upon social partners and finance ministers. The Bundesbank stood ready to
slam the brakes, but refrained from stimulating domestic demand; waiting
for exports to kick in instead. The model worked well for all concerned,
not least the Bundesbank itself, establishing its low inflation fame
without harming eco- nomic growth. West Germany became notorious for
running persistent current account surpluses though (Bibow, 2013).
The model became unclenched in the 1970s with the demise of the Bretton
Woods regime and oil price shocks. West German inflation rates climbed to
over 6 per cent in 1973 and again in 1981, although peaking well below
levels reached elsewhere. The deutschmark appreciated and gradually
attained reserve currency status. Applying fiscal stimulus in the late
1970s under international pressure, West Germany had a current account
deficit by 1980.
Fundamental policy changes with lasting European ramifications occurred in
1982-83. As the Bundesbank squeezed the rate of inflation back down to 2
per cent, the new gov- ernment of Helmut Kohl branded fiscal austerity and
supply-side economics as West Germany's unquestioned policy wisdom.
Keynesian ideas were declared obsolete. Once again, it could only work for
West Germany because others behaved differently. Indeed, the European
Monetary System delivered a revival of the old export-led growth model. The
deutschmark became Europe's anchor currency as France adopted its "franc fort" policy in 1983 (Bibow, 2013). De facto the Bundesbank now determined European monetary policy,
albeit with a legal focus on price stability in Germany (Marsh, 1992).
Both economically inefficient and politically unacceptable for
Germany's European neighbours, this evolution energized the forces for
deeper European integration. The idea of augmenting Europe's single
market by a single currency rapidly gained strength; even more so when
German unification approached. Its peculiarly powerful position both
within Germany and Europe allowed the Bundesbank to dictate the
conditions for abdicating its monetary reign. As a result, the
"Maastricht regime" of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is largely of
German design, with the Bundesbank serving as model for the ECB
(Bernholz, 1999; James, 2012).
Today, the Bundesbank is part of the pan-European central bank system
that manages the euro. Propagating Germany's price stability culture
and nourishing its own reputa- tion as an inflation hawk, the
Bundesbank continues to enjoy a special status not only in Germany, but
also within the whole Eurosystem. Not shying away from challenging the
system's supposed leader, the Bundesbank has opposed ECB decisions
aimed at coun- tering renewed financial fragmentation within the euro
area. The Bundesbank advised Germany's constitutional court that the
ECB may be overstepping its mandate in "doing whatever it takes" to
secure the euro's survival - arguably behaviour suggesting that the
Bundesbank may be planning for life in Germany after the euro.
See also:
Bretton Woods regime; Central bank independence; Euro-area crisis;
European Central Bank; European monetary union; Federal Reserve System.
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